Gitfiddler":2dv77mul said:
Does mccain win the whole thing or is america ready for obama?
I say it's too early to call. Way too early.
McCain has the experience and character. But he's too liberal for real conservatives and too Republican for Democrats. A lot of people who actually vote (moderate conservatives, elderly, veterans) like McCain.
Clinton has the Democrat machine behind her and the money, and she has created the illusion of someone with experience compared to Obama, so she has strengths. Americans aren't happy right now, so a party change seems to be favored, if everything else falls into place. Clinton has the Hispanic vote (which is more talk than action, they don't vote much) and the female vote (huge, women vote more than men).
Obama has the media in his pocket so much so that Hillary feels cheated that she's not getting the standard Democrat free pass. Obama has the better personality, is more likable, and doesn't come across as a bitter cunt, which is the opposite of Hillary. That makes Obama look better in soundbites, which is about the extent of the American political attention span. Obama has the black vote (which is more talk than action, they don't vote much) and the youth vote (even bigger joke, youth will go to the trouble of attending rallies but won't bother to get out of bed to vote on election day).
Who will be a stronger opponent for McCain? It depends.
Hillary has been through the Republican machine's tests and I think all of her skeletons have been exposed, so McCain will have to attack her on her lack of judgement, lack of leadership, lack of experience, lack of integrity, etc...which leaves a lot of targets.
Obama has never been scrutinized by the Republican machine, so any skeletons he has been hiding are going to get Swift-boated out into the open very soon if he wins the nomination. His paper thin resume will crumble under inspection, and McCain will crush him in any debate that actually asks hard questions about real issues (so he's probably safe there, as debates never do that).
I think that all 3 have an equal chance right now.