Going for all the major tv talking points huh?
Here is the bottom line. Your gut feeling based on your life experience only really is grounded in reality for topics and events that you have first hand knowledge for years, if not decades.
I do understand trusting my gut. I have to do it at work regularly, sometimes on high financial risk decisions. The difference is that I know when I have the correct experience to trust my gut instead of deferring to someone else's. And in that case, I have a good idea of who has the appropriate experience or who might be able to help find someone who does. No one I know in industry makes a gut decision on a topic they have little depth of knowledge about.
That is the crux of the issue here. You refuse to think that other people, with decades of hands on experience, are being genuine and trying to make the right call based on their gut, so you assume they are wrong and being nefarious. You assume your gut feeling is worth more than theirs. Your ego is in your way.