The-Kids' Real 2025 MLB/Baseball Thread *_*

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The~Kid

The~Kid

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Didn't think I'd have the energy for another season but giving it a second thought.......


This is 2 seasons and the second season and second season in a row now where I projected MVP and Cy Young ahead of the “experts” at MLB/ESPN/MLB on Fox or the donkeys at the Baseball Writers Association of America and even ahead of MLB powered by Google AI….



-2 seasons back to back from 2023-2024 ^_^





It’s not a coincidence and it’s not luck…..


For 2 seasons I have projected as good or better results in my Power Rankings and projections for teams that actually made post season, have projected AL or NL MPV ahead of the "experts" and have projected a Cy Young winner ahead of any "expert" on the planet or MLB powered by Google AI..... maybe I can make it a hat trick and make it three seasons in a row........ who the hell knows but it's time to sit back, chill, see how this season unfolds, come in and discuss what's going on in Baseball today and what actually matters vs cats stuck on trees and what basic garbage the MLB Network talks about and "let the kids play".......


This is......

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The-Kids' Real 2025 MLB/Baseball Thread......​

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Gaze into the Crystal Ball......​

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See the future ^_^​




 
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The Kids' Real MLB Top 10 Players/Batters for 2025..... Will update approaching the season as well...... Projections were made taking projected WAR, OPS and WRC+ as a baseline as well as other factors and considerations.....









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Gaze into the crystal ball......




SEE THE FUTURE......




The Kids' Real MLB Top 10 Players/Batters for 2025 *_*





1. Bobby Witt Jr



2. Shohei Ohtani



3. Aaron Judge



4. Juan Soto



5. Mookie Betts



6. Jose Ramirez



7. Fernando Tatis Jr



8. Gunnar Henderson



9. Yordan Alvarez



10. Julio Rodriguez



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Vs the "experts" at MLB/ESPN/MLB on Fox......




 
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Along with having a top 4 projected Starting Rotation and the best projected Starting Rotation in the AL does this buy the Red Sox a ticket for postseason in 2025.........




 
Different city...... different team.... different uniform....... same dude...... it's official ^_^



 
Kershaw signing another year with the Dodgers...... just how much more Baseball has he got left in that arm....... with a rotation like that he isn't going to be doing much of the heavy lifting but still...... does he have another solid season in him......


 
The Kids' Real MLB Top 10 Starting pitchers for 2025..... Will update approaching the season as well...... Projections were made taking projected WAR, IP and ERA as a baseline as well as other factors and considerations.....









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Gaze into the crystal ball......




SEE THE FUTURE......




The Kids' Real MLB Top 10 Starting Pitchers for 2025 *_*





1. Tarik Skubal



2. Zach Wheeler



3. Paul Skeenes



4. Garrett Crochet



5. Dylan Cease



6. Chris Sale



7. Logan Gilbert



8. Logan Webb



9. Cole Regans



10. Corbin Burnes



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Last season I projected Skubal as a top 4 pitcher on my Top 10 Starting Pitchers Rankings....... The "experts" at MLB/ESPN/MLB on Fox didnt even have him on their top 10.... this season he is ranked #1 on my rankings......... and for good reason....... This is Tariks world and we are all just living in it ^_^



 
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By the way the season before last for 2023 I had Gerrit Cole as a top 3 pitcher in the AL along with DeGrom and Ohtani.... Ohtani was my top pitcher then but he got injured unfortunately, dude still won MVP as projected by me ahead of the "experts" that season........ the only other real expert who had Cole on a top 10 list for pitchers in general was Sarah Langs..... she had him in a top 8...... even I beat her too and she's the best in the business and a real expert........ Cole went on to win the AL Cy Young........ I even beat the goddamn Pitching Ninja and every other fan that season too ^_^




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Hats off to these living legends....... on or off the field........






 
My fave pitcher of all time and HOF'er......... no pitcher will ever be better or greater than Nolan........



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And well there is a lot of maths that goes into making solid projections and many do a bunch of other conventional things that while have some sense to them, don't really do a good job of using available stats and analytics to make solid projections.


The WAR-Ratio is pretty simple and from that you can apply the same logic to different aspects of the game from how to pick an FA to better build a team and just a better understanding of the game in the 21st century.The WAR-Ratio broken down to an equation and simple terms...... a lot of other maths and patience went over a month to get it down to this essentially and find that it applied to players with a WAR of atleast 1.5 or higher on average over 5 seasons...... this is how I was able to project MVP and Cy Young ahead of the "experts" for two seasons now along with other factors and considerations but mainly this.....



[(Players WAR average over 5 seasons)/(Projected WAR for next season)]




Vs whatever the "experts" and donkeys at MLB/ESPN/MLB on Fox or the Baseball Writers Association of America over the past 2 seasons and MLB powered by Google AI..... it's better than 1000 years of combined knowledge of said "experts" or the conventional wisdom of the past 100+ years or any other methodology in Baseball in the 21st Century.


Its kind of complicated but when broken down to an equation its a lot easier to understand. Any player below .7 is not consistent or overvalued in some cases, any player above .8 is decent and a player that will perform shy of projections but still decent, .9 and close to 1 means a player set to meet projections or come close to them and 1 or above 1 is undervalued in some cases or a player that is set to meet projections or out pace them most likely....... Pretty much assigning an F, D, C, B, A or A+ grade to the value of a player.



 
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When Trout is healthy there are hardly any players that are better if any...... he was HR leader in the AL/NL before his injury last season........ here is hoping for a healthy season for Trout.... moving from CF to LF should help ^_^


 
It's weird to see some players in new places and teams but it's a part of the game probably weirdest one for me is Kyle Tucker to Cubs, he is so good and can't believe the Astros let him go...... but it was between him and Yordan Alvarez and you can't always get what you want...... understandable from the Astros though given Tuckers injury last season.....


 
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With an aircraft carrier like this at Yankees stadium I see him easily passing his projected 22 HR and say 30+ HR especially with the little league dimensions on the right side of the field in NYC and him being a lefty..... may not entirely make up for Soto but not a bad ROI WAR wise and from a production standpoint in either case ^_^


 
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Time to get started with The Kids' Real MLB 2025 Power Rankings ....... starting with my top 3........ Will update as the season approaches or move the list around but in general once it gets going that doesn't happen unless something big changes......










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The Kids Real MLB 2025 Top 3 Power Rankings Feb 19th 2025.....



Based off Total Team WAR, Starting Pitching rotations projections and the WAR-Ratio as a baseline along with other factors and considerations for teams with most likelihood and highest likelihood of making postseason for 2025.......



My Rankings are more accurate and to a lower margin of error when it came to my Regular Season and Post Season Power Rankings in the 2023 season vs the "experts"......they actually reflected performance by teams better than MLB/ESPN/Verlander/The-Ringer.... as good as the "experts" in 2024 and I don't have a full department of people and "professionals" or "experts" like Ken Rosenthal running around a floor of 500 people and a nationwide network of hundreds if not thousands of reporters and journalist..........




It's just me, my WAR-Ratio method and other factors and considerations, basic stats available to everyone and a little bit of calculus along with my Ti-84+ calculator.......thats it......you heard it here first.......








Gaze into the crystal ball........





SEE THE FUTURE.......




1. Dodgers


2. Phillies


3. Astros



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Time to get started with The Kids' Real MLB 2025 Power Rankings ....... starting with my top 5........ Will update as the season approaches or move the list around but in general once it gets going that doesn't happen unless something big changes......










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The Kids Real MLB 2025 Top 5 Power Rankings Feb 21st 2025.....



Based off Total Team WAR, Starting Pitching rotations projections and the WAR-Ratio as a baseline along with other factors and considerations for teams with most likelihood and highest likelihood of making postseason for 2025.......



My Rankings are more accurate and to a lower margin of error when it came to my Regular Season and Post Season Power Rankings in the 2023 season vs the "experts"......they actually reflected performance by teams better than MLB/ESPN/Verlander/The-Ringer.... as good as the "experts" in 2024 and I don't have a full department of people and "professionals" or "experts" like Ken Rosenthal running around a floor of 500 people and a nationwide network of hundreds if not thousands of reporters and journalist..........




It's just me, my WAR-Ratio method and other factors and considerations, basic stats available to everyone and a little bit of calculus along with my Ti-84+ calculator.......thats it......you heard it here first.......








Gaze into the crystal ball........





SEE THE FUTURE.......




1. Dodgers


2. Phillies


3. Astros


4. Yankees


5. Mets



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Finally..... Auto-Umps come to the MLB along with 2 challenges on calls per team aside from the regular challenge.......


 
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